Polygon's POL token surged 31% in 24 hours as on-chain activity across the network hit multi-week highs, but the rally faces a critical test at $0.12.
POL rose 31% to $0.085 in the 24 hours to 14:30 UTC on Aug. 22 before paring gains to about 18%, as Polygon's transaction count jumped more than sixfold and trading volume climbed 133% to $365 million.
CryptoQuant data shows Polygon's transaction count rose from 407 to 2,606 over the past week, while active addresses doubled from 161 to 286, confirming the network usage behind the price move. The surge aligns with a broader risk-on tone across crypto markets, with Bitcoin dominance holding near 59%.
DEX volume on Polygon rose fivefold to $240 million from $50 million on Aug. 9, while perps volume surged 8.6x over the same span, per DefiLlama. Chain fees grew from $60,000 to more than $90,000 as activity accelerated.
Stablecoin settlements drive fundamentals
Polygon's core business — stablecoin settlement — expanded after the chain integrated Frax's frxUSD-based FX pools, enabling near-instant multi-bank currency conversion. USDC remains the dominant stablecoin on Polygon with a 54% share, and the chain's stablecoin market cap grew to $3.035 billion, according to DefiLlama.
The stablecoin growth gives Polygon a revenue base independent of speculative trading, a differentiator versus other Layer-2 chains competing for DeFi activity on Ethereum.
Price structure turns bullish, but $0.12 looms
On the charts, POL is trading above the $0.085 neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, indicating a bullish market structure shift. However, bears at the $0.12 supply zone have already reduced gains, and an instant rejection at that level suggests a potential pause in buying pressure.
The MACD has turned green, confirming bulls remain in control, while the cumulative volume delta shows net buying activity. More than 46 million POL tokens were withdrawn from the Binance spot market, reducing available sell-side supply.
A correction from current levels would remain constructive as long as POL holds above $0.085. Losing that support would invalidate the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern and could trigger a deeper pullback toward prior consolidation levels. A successful break above $0.12 would open a path toward $0.18, the measured move target of the pattern.
The rally's sustainability depends on whether network activity — particularly DEX volume and stablecoin settlement — continues at current levels. If transaction counts revert to the 400-500 range seen earlier this month, the price move would lack fundamental backing, leaving POL vulnerable to profit-taking.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.