Bitcoin's market regime has flipped bullish, but one level stands between the current rally and official confirmation.
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Bitcoin Bull Score Jumps to 80 as $83,000 Resistance Looms
Bitcoin's market regime has flipped bullish, but one level stands between the current rally and official confirmation.
Bitcoin's Bull Score jumped from 30 to 80 in one week, the fastest flip in a year, as CryptoQuant flagged a new bull market regime. BTC traded near $79,224 as of 14:41 UTC on Aug. 25, up 1.9 percent over 24 hours, after touching an intraday peak of $81,272 on Binance.
"Market regime has switched to Bull for Bitcoin. Basically all metrics are pointing to the initial phase of a new bull market," Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, said on X on Aug. 25.
Bitcoin climbed 24 percent since Aug. 17, reaching its highest level since May 15. Eight of CryptoQuant's 10 underlying metrics now flash bullish. Apparent spot demand is growing at its fastest monthly pace since late December, while spot and futures demand are expanding together for the first time since early October 2025. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded roughly $1.92 billion in net inflows from Aug. 17-21, their strongest week in 10 months, with another $337.6 million on Aug. 24.
Moreno said Bitcoin still needs to close above its 365-day moving average, currently around $83,000, before the bull market is officially confirmed. That level has emerged as the key resistance point for the current rally.
CryptoQuant also warned the market looks stretched in the short term. Trader unrealized profit margins spiked to 20.5 percent, the highest since June 2025, while whales realized a record $614 million in profits on Aug. 20. Exchange inflows across Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP have also increased, a pattern that often precedes selling pressure.
Funding rates remain modestly positive at around 0.01 percent without signs of excessive leverage, while the Fear & Greed index sits in the Greed zone at 73. Asset managers hold nearly $375 billion in long S&P 500 futures, close to record highs, pointing to broad risk appetite across markets.
The confirmation test now hinges on a decisive close above $83,000. A break could attract institutional interest and open the path toward new highs, while failure may trigger consolidation or a pullback as profit-taking pressure builds.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
[1] Fastest Bitcoin Bull Flip in a Year Has One $83,000 Problem, Analyst Says[2] CryptoQuant says Bitcoin has entered initial phase of new bull market[3] Bitcoin Enters Bull Market Phase, CryptoQuant Bull Score Hits 80[4] Bitcoin’s Bull Market Regime Is Back — But a Pullback May Be Near | CryptoQuant
